19 Swing State Polls Were Released Yesterday – Who is Leading and Where?

A total of 19 polls of voters in swing states from four different pollsters were released Thursday, with former Vice President Joe Biden leading President Trump in every single one, including in historically Republican states like Arizona, Georgia and Texas.

KEY FACTS

Biden leads by as much as 18 points in Michigan in a poll from Republican firm Hodas & Associates, which also put him up 16 points in Wisconsin and 12 points in Pennsylvania.

Polls released by the New York Times and Siena College put Biden up by double digits in those states, with 11-point leads in Michigan and Wisconsin and a 10-point lead in Pennsylvania, as well as a 9-point lead in North Carolina, an 8-point lead in Florida and a 7-point lead in Arizona, all states that voted for Trump in 2016.

Redfield & Wilton polls showed almost identical results, with Biden leading by 11 points in Michigan, 10 points in Pennsylvania, 9 points in Wisconsin, 6 points in North Carolina and 4 points in Arizona and Wisconsin, with third-party candidates Jo Jorgensen and Howie Hawkins never polling above the margin of error.

But polls of typically Republican-leaning swing states from Fox News yielded the most shocking results, with Biden ahead by 9 points in Florida, 2 points in North Carolina and Georgia and 1 point in Texas, which voted for Trump by 8 points in 2016.

Overall, Trump trails Biden by 10 points nationally in the RealClearPolitics polling average, with the New York Times/Siena poll putting him down 14 points.

KEY BACKGROUND

Trump has struggled to respond to several major crises that have hit the U.S. in recent months. While he initially received a bump during the early stages of the coronavirus pandemic in April and May, that quickly evaporated by June as protests swept the nation in response to the death of George Floyd. Trump’s approval rating in the RealClearPolitics average is underwater by 13 points, his lowest margin since the beginning of the Ukraine scandal, which led to his eventual impeachment.

BIG NUMBER

37%. Just 37% of Americans approve of how Trump has handled the coronavirus pandemic compared to 58% who disapprove, according to a new Reuters poll.

KEY QUOTE

“This is the worst 24 hours of polling in Trump’s entire political career,” tweeted CNN Politics reporter Chris Cillizza.

NEWS PEG

Biden’s wide lead in critical battleground states, and the competitiveness of historically Republican states, forces Trump to change up his strategy, which…

Continue reading at FORBES.com

 

 

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